Ian Goldin, Guest Writer
Ideology: Liberal Independent | Writing From: George Washington University
Departments of economics are graduating a generation of idiot savants, brilliant at esoteric mathematics yet innocent of actual economic life.
Nobel Prize wining economist Wassily Leontief
It was the first day of classes, and I was sitting in my first Econ 181 lecture – a class on International Trade. At first, we went over the usual: the syllabus, class procedures, etc. It was difficult keeping my mind from wandering. Then, all of a sudden, I heard something. “You can assume that it is always beneficial for a country to trade with other countries,” my professor declared. I looked up, startled. Woah, wait a minute, I thought to myself. I thought that there would be at least some degree of balance and objectivity in such an advanced economics course, especially at such a reputable, national university. I guess not.
I raised my hand, “Professor, what about the fact that international trade is the reason that a financial crisis that would have been restricted to the US spread to the rest of the world in a matter of days, and has hurt the developing world worse than any other countries, even though they had nothing to do with the US housing crisis?”
“Oh, well that is true,” she replied.
“And what about the fact that the ‘free’ trade policies that were forced upon the developing world by the World Bank and the WTO have actually made these countries unable to even sustain their own people?”
“In some cases, yes.”
I’m remain confused. If both of my objections are valid, in at least “some cases,” then international trade isn’t always beneficial. In fact, frequently, it is only beneficial to the developed world, and attempts to exploit people in the developing world – the ones for whom economic development isn’t just about comfort or luxury, but about life or death.
Economic “scientists” at the World Bank and IMF, obsessed with comparative advantage, have encouraged the developing world to specialize in a single commodity, making them economically dependant on exports to the US, EU, and the rest of the consumer-driven world. While it might seem like a good idea to promote growth through exports, it becomes a problem when countries abandon their own agricultural industries for, say, the exotic flower industry… or the plastic toy industry. Whereas before, the country may have been poor (but subsistence farming made them self-sufficient), farms are replaced by factories, and food by exports. As a result, during a crisis, when Americans stop buying exotic flowers or cheap plastic toys, the people dependent on those exports starve.
The point of this story is not to demonize the concept of trade. I’m saying that as it is practiced throughout the world at this moment in time, it is destroying economies, ecosystems, and people.
The problem is neoclassical economics. Neoclassical theory is frequently the only theory taught in to students of economics throughout the country – especially in introductory courses (which are frequently the only ones many students take). Neoclassical is taught as gospel, when in reality it is only a theory – a theory that is being questioned more than ever before. The generations of tenured professors who have held a monopoly on economic theory are finally being called out. They’re being called out by “social economists, feminist economists, interdisciplinary economists, ecological economists, and hundreds of intellectuals and maverick professors who are openly critical of the neoclassical paradigm and are fighting to overthrow it.” (Kalle Lasn)
Economy and Ecosystem are both derived from the Greek word oikos, meaning household. An ecosystem consists of our home, and an economy consists of the allotment of goods within that home. The etymology of these words shows that we can’t separate these two ideas. According to neoclassical theory, however, labor is the only relevant resource. According to economic dissenters, that’s ludicrous. We are selling off our natural capital and calling it income. Our obsession with consumption is destroying the planet.
Neoclassical models leave no room for natural resource limitations. We are burning our rainforests to make room for cattle ranches, we are dumping waste into the very oceans in which we overfish, and the pesticides we use on our food are killing the very bees that pollinate our crops. And we wonder why there is a food shortage. The market has failed us. Consumption and production are no longer at equilibrium. We are consuming our natural resources faster than the Earth can replenish them. According to Mathis Wackernagel, the founder of the Global Footprint Network, humanity was demanding nearly one-third more than the Earth could renew in 2005. And it’s only getting worse.
I recently attended a briefing organized by the U.S. Climate Action Network. Farah Kabir, Country Director of ActionAid Bangladesh, talked about how there has been more natural disasters in the past year than ever before. Economics, ecology, and climate change are all related in important ways, and they have huge implications for national security. There has already been an increase in resource wars over the past decade – people are killing each other over access to clean water. Terrorist groups have become involved with many of these conflicts as well. It’s only a matter of time before Americans are directly affected.
So what can we do? It’s mostly about the way we consume. The economists who got us into this financial crisis want to get us out by encouraging us to spend more and consume more. I say let’s take a break from gorging ourselves for a while. Buy local, organic food. Stop drinking bottled water. Stop eating meat. Take public transportation. Take a vacation from shopping!
But it’s also more complicated than that. Governments need to enact serious eco-footprint reduction policies to protect their ecological reserves and natural resources. As resources become scarce, the countries that have done this will be the competitive ones, and the countries that have attempted to grow through resource consumption will be the ones asking for aid. We need to make our economy less resource-dependant. It’s a simple case of supply and demand.
As I sit through my econ class, I have to endure the many truisms of neoclassical theory: one of them being the assumption that more is better. The more money people have, the more stuff they can buy. The more stuff they can buy, the happier they are. Neoclassical theory uses GDP as an indicator for national happiness. But there is something missing. Lourdes Beneria, a professor of gender and economic development at Cornell University summed it up quite nicely: “There is no emotion or love involved in decisions based on economic rationality.” Our econ professors like to tell us that money equals happiness. I’d like to think that we’re not as shallow as they think we are.

“There is no emotion or love involved in decisions based on economic rationality.”
Such a beautiful quote. Great article, Ian.
Ian,
I fundamentally agree with you about the problems caused by the current system (famine, hunger, inequality) and the fact that they are a complete injustice.
This is my drive to do charity, help out the less fortunate, etc.
However, I fail to see an actual system that could work in place of the capitalist one (or more accurately the pseudo-capitalist system) that we have right now. The other proposals and ideological ideas that I’ve seen will lead to even more poverty, complete lack of control, or are easily seceptable to dictatorships.
I feel that here, we as a world are stuck.
The term “Neoclassical” is pretty much a defunct term. Modern/mainstream economic is pretty much divided into work done by the freshwater/real business cycle/rational expectations crowd and the saltwater/Neo-Keynesian schools. Decrying Neoclassical economics is akin to condemning the Free Soil party.
Your comment about eating organic is somewhat implausible. The WHO estimated that current farmland in usage today would only support about 4 billion people, but the current population is 6.7B. Organic is already expensive, and getting higher-rent lands involved in production would make food even more expensive than it already is. Moving towards organic would increase both poverty and famine. Essentially, organic food is a luxury that rich people can afford; it is not a sustainable plan for the world (unless Swine Flu ends up knocking out half the earth’s population…).
Let’s go through this point by point. I’m in a listy sort of mood today:
1) You state that the fact that the US recession became a world-wide problem is because of trade. That’s simply false, and I have absolutely no idea why your teacher would tell you otherwise. Our current problem is a classic case of financial contagion, and it’s widely agreed on that financial contagion is spread through financial linkages, not trade linkages.
2) Can you give me one example of country that has become specialized to the point that it no longer produces anything besides the good that it is specialized in? I’ll give you the only one I can think off: Vatican City and priest production. Oh, and Monaco produces wealthy, pompous bastards.
3) Very few firms from developing countries are exporters. Most goods are sold on the domestic market. So just because a country has a comparative advantage in garments doesn’t mean that there is no one making shoes for the domestic market.
4) The vast majority of people in developing countries live in rural areas and work in the agricultural sector. It’s not realistic to think that most of these people would abandon their farms and work in factories to produce the hot product of the day (I’m not even going to talk about the other issues with this, such as the cost of worker training etc).
5) There is a reason why Amaryta Sen won the Nobel: he’s damn influential. Most economists have taken up his capabilities approach to utility and growth. Also behavioral economics is making a very significant contribution to the field of mirco-economics. So while your charge that economists think that money equals happiness might have been valid 50 years ago, it is ridiculously outdated at this time.
6) Export does cause growth. This is just irrefutable (South Korea etc). The reasons why it does are many: exporters pay higher wages, exports are of higher quality hence they require a more skilled workforce, exporters need infrastructure (roads, rail etc) which have positive externalities, successful exporters function only with good institutions (rule of law, property rights etc) which are beneficial to the whole society etc.
Ok, now I’m going to agree with you, sort of. Opening up a developing country to outside importation can be extremely damaging to that country if it’s institutions are not equipped for it. Lack of good institutions will prevent local companies from playing on an even field. Also, local firms will probably be less efficient so for a while, the government would be well advised to subsidies certain sectors.
Hey Mark, I agree with you that organic is more expansive. But you’re not accounting for possible future innovation. Also, skilled agriculture is a clear example of “small is more productive.” I added the ‘skilled’ cause I don’t want anyone babbling about Zimbabwe.
Art,
True, but I’d be shocked if you can wring a lot more productivity out of organic farming innovation that doesn’t also improve traditional farming by a similar amount. Regardless, if you are thinking just in terms of rent + labor wage per calorie instead of money, organic necessarily requires more scarce resources than traditional farming. There is less land and labor left over to produce other goods, whether for trade or domestic consumption, which can improve quality of life very quickly on the margin. This is true whether you are measuring income, or the things that higher income/development tend to bring with it like lower infant mortality, increased life span, etc.
Also, the quotation “the ones for whom economic development isn’t just about comfort or luxury, but about life or death” needs to be addressed.
First, rich countries do not force poor countries to engage in development and trade. They do so because it increases their income (why would they start trading if it reduced it?).
Second, poor countries with low income, who are facing the life or death decision everyday, stand to gain the most from small increases in income since proportionally they are demonstrably better off. In the US, a gain in income of $2 per family is met with indifference. In a poor country where the median citizen is living off of less than $1 or $2 per day, a $2 increase in income makes a huge difference. Anything that increases income in these places is effectively going to save lives because of what development brings.
The author points out that money doesn’t buy happiness; it does, however, buy medicine, clean water, education, and better nutrition.
Mark, while I agree with you that chances are good that organic farming will most likely always be as productive or less productive then regular farming, I wasn’t really talking about this.
I was pointing out that the doom and gloom scenario you projected, where we simply wouldn’t be able to feed everyone, is exaggerated because it’s based on current conditions. I’m sure if you told someone in the pre-Norman Borlaug era what our yield for crops is they would have told you that your crazy.
“First, rich countries do not force poor countries to engage in development and trade. They do so because it increases their income (why would they start trading if it reduced it?).”
Mark, don’t be so naiive about the way the world works. Do some research on the World Bank, WTO, IMF, or any of the other Bretton Woods institutions with long histories of imperialism.
Ian,
Accusing me of being naive and then telling me to do research on institutions that you obviously do not understand the function or role of does not make you right or superior. Are they perfect? Of course not, but the amount of good and the general welfare that they have promoted far outweighs any harm they have done. And again, developing nations do not need to interact with these bodies; they only do so because they either 1) have run their currency or public finances to the brink of oblivion or 2) are want help to develop more quickly than they can on their own. In absence of these organizations, most of the countries would probably end up worse off than if they hadn’t gotten the aid.
You talk about famine as a potential side effect of trade, which is not true. However, a currency crisis can most certainly trigger famine, exacerbate poverty and suffering, and isolation in the form of trade (which makes these governments unable to purchase things like food, medicine, and anything else they can’t produce on their own). The IMF emergency loan programs have stopped numerous countries from plunging into currency crises that would make the recession here look like mosquito bite. The WB has stabilized governments, brought roads and drinking water to countless thousands, and helped combat malaria and AIDS.
I’m sure you’ve read an article or two that decries the horrid atrocities that these organizations have wreaked on countries. That’s fine. But there is a different between criticizing an institution to get it to perform its mission better and to just label them as bad and imperialist without even thinking about the good they do or what alternatives exist in their absence. Put some critical thought into your criticism of these things; it will make you sound less naive (which, by the way, has only one “i”).
“An article or two.” Are you serious? Just a quick search on my University’s databases brought up 21,410 scholarly articles on World Bank/IMF imperialism and neocolonialism. The World Bank is literally owned by the US. They’re the majority shareholder, giving them complete veto power on all decisions. …Not that I really need to read articles, seeing as I live down the block from both institutions. Maybe I could just walk in and ask them about it myself!
The reason developing countries accept financing from the World Bank and IMF is because they are literally desperate, and have nowhere else to turn. But if you ask almost anyone in those countries – including aid workers, government officials, and probably anyone on the street – they will all agree that they want financing, but not managed by the World Bank. They know that the “structural adjustments” that come with that financing will hurt more than it helps.
As for alternatives, the Chinese government has begun playing a significant role as counter-weight to IMF influence. Its often lax lending requirements have led some countries, such as Angola in 2006, to eschew all previously planned IMF loans. (The Economist)
That’s why you’re ‘naiive’ – because you assume that American institutions are the good guys simply because they say they are. Think for yourself!
I leave you with one final reference:
http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=naiive
You bring up a lot of great points here, interesting article.
To further the idea you mention about money not leading to happiness, there are tons of studies that demonstrate that happiness rises with income increases only up to a point (generally rising out of poverty)and then stops rising even as income continues to rise (moving from middle class to rich, or rich to richer). Check out this Princeton study: http://www.princeton.edu/main/news/archive/S15/15/09S18/index.xml?section=topstories
And it makes sense, the way we accumulate and spend money, particularly in the United States, can tend to exclude us from others and require more and more time at work away from home, and from leisure activities. At the same time, we become more and more environmentally harmful, living in big suburban houses, driving far to get anywhere, buying more and more new material goods, etc. As you say, the economic assumption that more is better isn’t always the case, in fact it isn’t generally better for happiness levels and certainly not for the environment. It is just so deeply ingrained in competition and how we perceive success, that it’s going to be very hard to shake.
Ian,
To recap: you write an article that excoriates an entire profession, lament the way the world works without proposing any really plausible solutions beyond broad and vague idealistic claims, and implicitly insinuate that you are smarter than the geopolitical complex because you interrupted your professor. Art and I then point out that your arguments have many errors, both substantive and semantic, that make your points either misinformed or overly idealistic. So far, your responses to these criticisms has been:
1) an Ad Hominem attack
2) putting a semantic label on these institutions
3) a boolean search that backs up the semantic label but does not address my point
4) assert that living near the IMF and the World Bank makes you an expert on them by osmosis, allowing you to skip on reading and research
5) reiterating that countries that need help seek out the IMF and WB on their own, which was actually my point
6) linking to the urban dictionary to support your ad hominem attack
I would suggest in the future that you address criticism more substantively rather than insult your readers for not agreeing with you. I will not be one of these readers.
I don’t even mind if this is ad hominem.
You’re a complete moron.
First of all, free trade has little in common with neoclassical economics. I know your little political science friends told you that “neoclassical economics” are ruining the world, but that’s a topic for another debate. Why? Because the ideas of free trade came long before the term “neoclassical economics” ever saw the inside of a dictionary.
First of all, I’d like to present you a report done on what economists agree and disagree about.
http://www.aier.org/aier/publications/ejw_derc_sep09_whaples.pdf
Next, I’d like to point out that the overwhelming majority of economists, irrespective of political ideology, support free trade. I don’t care if it’s Solow, Gordon, Mankiw, Lucas, Friedman, or even your New York Times favorite–Krugman. Not only neoclassical economists understand the benefits to trade.
The benefits to trade are so well known and accepted that denying them parallels with arguing that the world is flat or that the earth is in the center of the universe.
Really, the best you have for nearly 200 years since Ricardo is a professor of “gender and economic development”? Really, is that all you have in the face of a mountain of empirical evidence that suggests that you’re so far from reality that flat earthers are closer to the truth? That’s right–almost two hundred years ago, in the age of CLASSICAL economics…long before any fancy regressions, before econometrics even existed, and before mathematics and economics ever found the relationship that they enjoy today. These tools have done nothing but reinforce our belief that the gains from trade (irrespective of absolute advantage) are so simple that even the principles level macro student can understand them.
You want autocracy? Move to North Korea. Do yourself a favor and step away from the computer and open your textbook. You’ve got an awful lot of learning to do if you think you’re going to attack the gains to trade. Nothing is as concrete in macroeconomics as the gains to trade.
In case you’re wondering who taught my 400-level International Economics course, his Wikipedia page is here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Werner_Baer
He’s the world expert on Brazil and has forgotten more than you’ll ever know about the benefits to trade. He voted for Obama, has published extensively on Latin American Economics, is in at least his late 70s and could probably do a much better job of chewing you up and spitting you out than I will, because I find little utility in arguing with flat earthers.
I suggest that when you’re done whining about “eco footprint reduction” that you open up a textbook or look for the balance of payments data online. I suggest that you actually make observations about capital flows and learn the reality about international finance before you attack the system that has literally pulled hundreds of millions of people from poverty.
The earth is flat, and in the middle of the universe, and the gains to trade are all a hoax, as is comparative advantage. And George Bush owns the IMF. I get it. Try again, moron.
Oh and “winning” has two “n’s.” It also appears that other commenters have effectively pointed out that saying something is bad and failing to account for what would happen in its absence is a classic fallacy by people who do not understand economics. Kudos to everyone who has commented here, who obviously have more patience when it comes to arguing with an idiot.
Seriously people, the world is round, the Sun is the center of our solar system, and trade is good. They go together nicely.
Tim, I’m glad you’re such an expert on economics. Why don’t you open up a history text book, for once, and actually learn something other than theory. For example, how your lovely “deregulating everything will magically fix things” policies actually impact real people, so you don’t have to take what your discredited economics department tells you on faith.
I never said anything about deregulating anything. You made that up.
Also, the theories of economics and the advantages to trade go far beyond theory. There are hundreds of economists in the United States alone working on empirical work that supports free trade. Why don’t you do yourself a favor and look at the link I put up, specifically the one about what economists debate and what is clear and accepted (nothing has a higher proportion than trade).
Further, claiming that looking at history is “social science” is misconception of the worst kind. In fact, it’s precisely the type of criticism that progressives like you mount (correctly, I might add) at conservatives. That something once was, even if it was “measurably better” than now does not mean that it was then, or is today, optimal.
The job of economists (or any social science, for that matter, all of which can thank economics for their existence) is not to be nostalgic and look rearward at how wonderful the world was and wish for it to be that way again. Economists exist to argue about which is the best way to conceptualize the world in which we live, so that we can make informed choices about the future.
If anything is discredited, it is that anything other than “free trade” is a good rule. There are exceptions, but as always is with things that are so clearly decided, it is foolish (and in this case, destructive to society) to allow exceptions to swallow the rule.
“The job of economists (or any social science, for that matter, all of which can thank economics for their existence) is not to be nostalgic and look rearward at how wonderful the world was and wish for it to be that way again. Economists exist to argue about which is the best way to conceptualize the world in which we live, so that we can make informed choices about the future.”
You do realize that you’re trying to disprove the usefulness of forecasting, don’t you?