Conor Rogers, Editor-In-Chief
Ideology: Republican | Writing From: New York City
It started out great for President Obama. He won the election on little else than a nationwide desire for change and an ability to portray the Republicans as a party of no we can’t. Aided by an exceptional Democratic
public relations team, Obama steamrolled into the Presidency. As Obama entered the White House and debates roiled over the stimulus package, the White House again successfully painted the GOP as a party that was simply against stimulus and against the middle class. It was a page right out of the campaign Obama playbook – and it worked. The Democrats were on message and had Republicans playing defense. Suddenly in July, however, something strange happened: the steady march of legislation led by Barack Obama and Nancy Pelosi met something that we Republicans had feared was a victim of campaign Obama – Center Right America. The Democrats convinced America to put their faith in a Democratic Congress, and a Democratic President. Yet, Obama won on promises of compromise, post-partisanship and a new beginning. The party expanded its hold on Congress because they ran conservative and moderate candidates that make Rudy Giuliani look like a Democrat, not on promises of universal healthcare.
The minute the decision to simultaneously advance national healthcare and cap-and-trade legislation was made, the Democratic Party essentially withdrew all the political capital amassed by Obama and backed into trenches they never should have dug out.
This decision made sense; the Republican Party was in disarray, the conservatives blamed McCain for the 2008 failure, and moderates targeted the Bush years and folksy Sarah Palin as the cause for loss. The GOP had been hit by repeated scandals and had no popular face to point to, only controversial governors and a series of 2012 hopefuls that had fallen from grace. Yet in a series of events Karl Rove could only dream of, the Democrats decided to consecutively advance cap-and-trade (billed as the ‘largest tax increase in history’ meets burden on farmers and families) and a healthcare plan that expanded government control, while covering abortions at taxpayer expense – without a plan to pay for it all. The Democrats provided the Republicans with the ammo they needed to reunify a fractured party. Meanwhile, unemployment was on its way up towards 10% and “green jobs” were nowhere to be found. Unexpectedly, as Barack Obama’s healthcare deadline passed without anything to show for it, the Republican Party got its Christmas in July. The number one policy initiative of the unstoppable, untouchable President Obama had been blocked.
The health bill was naturally going to draw the ire of capitalists – but why include abortion funding, while failing to mention that there will be “end-of-life consultations”? The Democrats gave reason for, and allowed, “healthcare reform” to be repackaged as a pro-choice, big-government, HillaryCare 2.0, betrayal of the elderly – and nothing could possibly unify the Republicans more than that. The Democrats’ main problem is that their main solution, President Barack Obama, is under assault. Social conservatives, capitalists and elderly Americans ar
e on the warpath, and as the public option becomes optional, the “death boards” fall victim to Sarah Palin and Blue Dogs shelve everything from emissions restrictions to government-run anything, team Obama has lost the essential element of any successful White House – control. They’ve lost control of the Blue Dog caucus, control of the independents, and most importantly, control of the debate itself.
To make matters worse, as the Democratic Party fractures and Obama’s ratings take a hit, the White House is blaming the Republican Party. This excuse will not fly with the American public. They elected a powerful Democratic President, and gave the Democrats a super majority in Congress. Republicans couldn’t block this healthcare plan if they tried – it’s moderate Democrats that are holding up the debate. Pretending like it’s the Republican Party standing in the way has made President Obama look like a practitioner of the “politics as usual” that he so ardently campaigned against. His favorability ratings show his post-partisan image is taking a hit.
In the past week alone, conflicting positions over ‘the public option’ have sent the healthcare debate and the Democratic Party into chaos. President Obama has laid the public plan out as a bargaining chip – maybe. Only two days after saying we “may or may not” have a public option at a town hall meeting and sparking a riot on the left-wing, the White House signaled it may use the so called “nuclear option” – when one party abandons all hope for compromise and instead sticks with an ideologically pure bill. Again, one must question what team Obama is thinking: after two months of battles watering down the plan, the White House reverts back to its April/May position of refusing to compromise, just as town hall anger reaches its fever pitch and Obama’s poll numbers get dangerously close to 50%. The White House has backed itself into a corner; conservative Democrats will not accept a bill with a public option, and liberal democrats will not accept a plan that omits one.
President Obama’s unclear back-and-forth on the public option is going to be political suicide for healthcare reform. To put it in perspective, President Obama’s sudden reversion back to “no compromise” after months of debate would be the near equivalent of former President Bush fighting for the troop surge plan for months and then announcing that our plan was again to “stay the course.” Failure to be on message, being unready to explain vaguely worded things like “end-of-life consultations”, and attempting to disagree with the Congressional Budget Office when it shuts the door on half your argument proves that the Democratic Party’s biggest problem is now a public relations one. Quite the unbelievable situation for the same party that ran the best election campaign ever seen in 2008.
The minute “Yes, We Can” became “Maybe, We’ll See” the Democratic Party should have expected nothing less than plunging poll numbers, a fractured party and negative media coverage. In a span of only two months, the Republicans have gone from “leaderless and unorganized” to an organized machine, and the Democrats have blown the most political capital ever amassed in the short span of only eight months – and they have little to show for it save a Supreme Court Judge, an $800 billion dollar spending spree and Sens. Chuck Grassley and Kent Conrad sitting across the other side of the table, maybe, ready to negotiate.

interesting perspective.
I’d like to know where you’re getting your facts. How do you define America as center right? America supports a woman’s freedom to choose, embryonic stem cell research, civil unions, (coming around on marriage), the right for gays to serve in the military, heavily supported universal healthcare in polls before the misinformation campaign and still still do according to many polls today, regulation of greenhouse gases, and reasonable gun regulation, among other things. (pollingreport.com)
Also, there is no abortion funding in any of the healthcare bills. It’s prohibited, specifically so. See here: http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2009/aug/07/john-boehner/boehner-says-democrats-health-care-plan-would-lead/
So you ought to amend your article at the bottom and admit this.
Also Obama didn’t win the election on ‘little else’ than a nationwide desire for change. Americans supported the man and his policies (and have mostly supported Democratic policies over those of republicans while still voting for GOP presidents. see: pollingreport.com)
Also, I’d like to point out that your definition of nuclear option is wrong. That is used in a totally different context. The word you want is called ‘reconciliation,’ which is a term for budgetary bills that require only 51 votes to pass.
While you are indulging yourself in the democrats willingness to pass bipartisan bills and the media hype around this, one thing remains: Democrats still have supermajorities in both chambers which they can steamroll over republican opposition on other agenda items. Also, you might have wanted to save such an article for after a vote on the final healthcare bill, because when it comes down to it, healthcare will probably pass, probably with reconciliation, and with a public option.
John,
Thank you for your analysis of today’s piece.
First, I’d respond by saying what you pointed out (that a slim majority of America supports a woman’s right to choose, but does not yet back gay marriage) is actually proof that we are a center-right nation. We are not left (ie. fully pro-choice, and wholly in favor of gay marriage) nor are we in line with the Christian right. Plus, a large majority of Americans support the death penalty. http://www.gallup.com/poll/118399/more-americans-pro-life-than-pro-choice-first-time.aspx
You will find in that Gallup Poll that a majority of the country identifies as pro-life, but when questioned further does support a woman’s choice to have an abortion if her life is threatened or is facing complications. This is not a right-wing approach, it is obviously a center-right position.
Now, taking into account our social values, and their center-right leanings, examine our economic history. We have historically been, and remain, a consumerist profit-driven entrepreneurial economy that more often than not will favor lower taxes.
Next, with regards to Abortion, the current house bill includes funding for Abortion – partially from taxpayer funds, and partially from premiums generated under the public option program. A great analysis today on the Huffington Post explained this. Click here to see a video of Congresswoman Lofgren admitting that the plan does include abortion funding:
http://gatewaypundit.blogspot.com/2009/08/dem-rep-admits-abortion-is-covered-in.html
Americans did not support “his policies” they supported the idea of Barack Obama. I say this because he won the Democratic Primary without ever even really getting into policy. ‘Youtube’ his speeches and you will see that he spent most of his time bashing Bush and talking about ‘Change’ than actual policy. Similarly, during the debates, it was John McCain who was focusing on facts and Obama on themes. (I will be the first one to admit that Obama’s themes worked better than McCain’s factual arguments)
To say that the American public has usually supported democratic policies, even when electing Republican Presidents is simply false. In fact, it is the other way around. Americans supported the republican (Gingrich) economic plan – and Clinton won in 1996 while adopting a centrist, free-market economic approach. It was Carter’s left leaning policies that got him thrown out.
To your suggestion that this article should have waited until the healthcare plan passed or did not pass misses the entire point of my article. This article did not say the democrats have failed – not once. Rather, it said that the Democrats have a public relations problem they need to fix. They have wasted enormous political effort and time (aka political capital) by being off message, indecisive and unclear.
Regarding “reconciliation” yes, that is the term for moving a vote on a budget rather than an issue, but the term “nuclear option” is commonly used when referring to tactics to avoid or destroy a filibuster.
You mention the stellar public relations team that helped elect Obama but you fail to give your own party the credit they deserve for hijacking the health care debate. When polled specifically about the legislation pending in Congress, a significant portion of the country opposes health care reform. When asked about the concept of a public option, however, 77% still support it. America is not a center right country. We are a paradoxical nation that simultaneously wants a strong welfare state and a government that can also afford to cut taxes. A recent conversation with a close relative of mine captures this attitude. As we talked about healthcare, my aunt couldn’t stop complaining about a government takeover of healthcare only to praise the medicare she receives only a few sentences later.
I’ll just have to disagree with you on what constitutes the political center and how far right or left some ideas may fall. Also, I’d like to point out that I do agree that Barack Obama didn’t win the Democratic primary on the issues. If the election were about issues and qualifications, Hillary would have won. However, I do believe, and as the polls do show, that most Americans supported his policy positions over John McCain’s. Also, the fact is that the House bill and senate bill do not mention abortion at all (explicitly or indirectly), so it is dishonest to suggest these would cover abortion funding. It is true that the HHS Secretary may have authority of funding in this issue though, but the bills do not provide funding, which you claim. Furthermore, The Huffington Post and the Lofgren video both come from sources with their own bias. The link I included was from an independent source examining claims from both sides in regards to their truthfulness. Polling on the abortion issue is also a game of wording. However, it holds true that Americans have been consistently in favor of a woman’s right to choose as provided to her in the constitution with reasonably placed limits. And this will not change; abortion is a dead issue used only for electoral politics. This right will not be taken away.
Additionally, you can only judge political capital being lost if their work provided nothing in the end. If they fail, then sure, the dems blew it. If they prevail, then this time will not have been waisted and will only show their resolve.
Finally, the nuclear option only pertains to rules on votes related to the judiciary and is irrelevant otherwise. I wasn’t trying to make a big thing of it, but it was just an FYI. Reconciliation is effectively removing a filibuster, but it is not a nuclear option.